ConocoPhillips Stock Struggles Amid Energy Sector Volatility
ConocoPhillips shares have underperformed the broader energy sector, declining roughly 22% over the past year—double the drop seen in the Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE). The divergence stems from weak quarterly earnings, with adjusted EPS falling to $1.42 in Q2 2025 from $1.98 a year prior. Yet this volatility is inherent to upstream oil and gas producers, where geopolitical shifts and supply-demand imbalances drive wild price swings.
The company's pure-play exploration model leaves it exposed to crude's whims, exemplified by the post-pandemic price surge and recent softening. Investors punishing the stock overlook ConocoPhillips' structural resilience—its operations are designed to weather such cycles. Energy markets reward patience, not myopia.